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【5月9-10日会议】2024系统风险与多重危机防范国际研讨会(第三号通知)
发布时间:2024-04-30     浏览量:

International Symposium on Systemic Risk and Polycrisis Governance

(Third Announcement)

The International Symposium on Systemic Risk and Polycrisis Governance, which is hosted by the Beijing Normal University (BNU) and the International Institute of Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), will be held in Beijing on 9-10 May, 2024.

1. Programme

Day 1: 9 May 2024

08:00-09:00

Registration

09:00-09:30

Opening and Remarks

Chair: Professor Guoyi Han

  • Representative of BNU, Professor Ming Wang (Vice President of BNU)
  • Representative of IIASA, Professor Reinhard Mechler
  • Representative of China Association for Disaster Prevention (CADP), Professor Guoguang Zheng (President of CADP, former Vice Minister of the Ministry of Emergency Management, China)
  • Symposium Co-Chair: Professor Ortwin Renn

09:30-10:00

Photo and Tea/Coffee Break

10:00-12:00

Keynotes and Overview

Chair: Professor Hirokazu Tatano

  • Professor Ortwin Renn: Understanding, governing and communicating polycrisis from a systemic risk perspective
  • Professor Deliang Chen: Compound weather and climate events under global warming
  • Professor Ming Wang: Systemic Risk: Modeling and Governance

12:00-14:00

LUNCH

14:00-15:30

Climate Risk and Transformation

Chair: Professor Reinhard Mechler

  • Professor Reinhard Mechler: Transformation for addressing systemic risk and adaptation limits: Theory and evidence
  • Professor Dimiter Ialnazov: Vulnerabilities related to the energy transition in southeast Asian countries: focus on Indonesia and Vietnam
  • Dr. Yun Yang: Responses of the Atlantic cold tongue and the Atlantic Niño/Niña to greenhouse warming
  • Dr. Jinglu Song: Small-scale heat health risk assessment and nature-based solutions

15:30-15:45

Tea/Coffee Break

15:45-16:45

Methods, Modeling and Cases I

Chair: Professor Weihua Fang

  • Professor Aleksandar Jovanović: “Measuring” the significance of poly-crises: A proposal for an indicator-based metrics
  • Professor Shuichiro Kuwajima: Knowledge Integration Methodology for Humanosphere Science
  • Professor Saini Yang: Disaster and Systemic Risk Assessment

16:45-17:00

Tea/Coffee Break

17:00-18:00

Methods, Modeling and Cases II

Chair: Professor Weihua Fang

  • Professor Baofeng Di: Resilience reconstruction of ecosystem and community after earthquake
  • Professor Yan Yan: Reconstruction and inversion of landslide and debris flow processes based on seismic signals
  • Professor Jing Huang: Mining and forecasting of rainstorm disaster chain based on knowledge map

18:00-18:15

Reflection of the Day

Moderator: Professor Guoyi Han

Presenters & Participants

18:30-20:30

Dinner (Banquet)

Day 2: 10 May 2024

08:00-10:00

Keynotes and Overview

Chair: Professor Ortwin Renn

Professor M. Granger Morgan (on-line): Obtaining probabilistic judgments from experts for use in risk analysis

Professor Thomas Homer-Dixon (on-line):

Professor Ruth Richardson (on-line): Rethinking Risk

10:00-10:30

Tea/Coffee Break

10:30-12:00

Demographic Trends and Urbanization

Chair: Professor Qunli Han

  • Professor Wolfgang Lutz: Risks and opportunities arising from global demographic trends
  • Professor Peijun Shi: Urbanization systemic risk reduction and enhancing sustainability in China
  • Professor Chunyang He: Global urbanization and water shortage

12:00-14:00

Lunch

14:00-15:30

Policy Implications and Governance Properties I

Chair: Professor Guoyi Han

  • Dr. Constantin Arnscheidt: Systemic contributions to global catastrophic risk
  • Professor Hirokazu Tatano: Lessons on the prevention of the propagation of disasters in order to mitigate systemic impacts
  • Professor Qunli Han: Mainstream DRR for Development Safety: Implications of the Global Risk Science Priorities
  • Professor Ziqiang Han: How did the Chinese public discuss the 2023 Turkey-Syria earthquake and the humanitarian response on social media?
  • Dr. Xiaoli Lu: Contingent Organizing for Mega Surging Demands: A Case Study of Mask Supply at the Onset of the Covid-19 Pandemic

15:30-16:00

Tea/Coffee Break

16:00-17:30

Policy Implications and Governance Properties II

Chair: Professor Qian Ye

  • Professor Norio Okada: Worldview of cities and regions under Persistent Disruptive Stressors (PDSs) – a time-tested approach adopted in Japan called ‘SMART Governance of Communities‘
  • Dr. Pia-Johanna Schweizer:
  • Professor Qian Ye: ISEET framework for Systemic Risk Governance
  • Dr. Xinyu Jiang: Integrated Disaster Risk Management: What, Why and How?—A Preliminary Discussion
  • Dr. Feng Kong: Understanding the Integrated Governance of Rural Disaster Management in China: Characteristics, Problems, and Approaches

17:30-18:00

Reflection and closing (Peijun Shi & Guoyi Han)

2. Registration

Time: 8:00-9:00 AM, 9 May, 2024

Venue: Second floor, Yingdong Conference Hall, Beijing Normal University (19 Xinjiekouwai Street, Haidian, Beijing)

3. Hotel

Jingshi Building (Center for International Academic Exchange of BNU

4. Contact

Ms Qin, qinyj@bnu.edu.cn